Work package 1: Development of a national process for analysing the operating environment and the carrying out of the operating environment analysis
The work package conducted an analysis of the national operating environment of the rescue services. The analysis covers both the current state of the operating environment and proactive information on how the phenomena, trends, risks, threats and other changes observed in the operating environment at national and regional level will affect the operations of the rescue services in the near future. Through an analysis based on the PESTEL framework, the report presents the factors of change identified as the most important in terms of rescue services and civilian preparedness.
In addition, the work package examined the development of a process for analysing the operating environment. The conclusion is that operating environment analyses need to have a more regional perspective. The previous operating environment analyses of the rescue services sector have focused strongly on the national level. Which means they often fail to show a connection, for example, to the operating environment analyses and risk assessments in decisions on the level and standard of services of the rescue departments. The conclusion is that, in future, external statistics should be used in the analyses of the operating environment, in addition to the rescue services' own statistics.
The work package also drew attention to the fact that separate, in-depth studies on topical phenomena and themes can be carried out as part of the analysis of the operating environment. In addition, it was seen that in the national analysis of the operating environment it would be useful to use a number of different methods to examine the impact of factors of change on rescue services. In this way, the analysis of the operating environment would provide continuous and proactive information that evolves over time for the rescue services.
The future challenge in the rescue services is how to move from national strategic objectives and identified trends to regional-level everyday solutions. The challenge is also to ensure the continuity and systematic nature of the work on the operating environment analysis.
In addition, a separate report (Media pelastustoimen toimintaympäristön osana) examines how the media are integrated into field operations, rescue work, management decision-making, trust in rescue services, and safety communications.
Work package 2: Reforming of risk models and accident and incident predictions
The purpose of the work package is to reform the risk models and accident and incident predictions. The package also includes a review of fire station networks.
The work package has five objectives: Firstly, a dynamic forecasting model will be created for accidents and incidents. The model will take into account different types of accidents and incidents, probabilities and consequences as well as spatiotemporal variations. Another objective is to plan how the forecasting model will be used as part of the knowledge-based management.
The third objective is to form a more diverse model for designing the level and standard of services. The fourth objective is to present a proposal on how the forecasting model will be used in the assessment and planning of the fire station network.
The fifth objective is to draw up a plan for maintaining the forecasting model. The plan will define the methods for updating the forecasting model and the division of responsibilities.
Work Package 6: Performance of rescue operations in relation to capacity requirements
The work package will examine how the performance and services of rescue services respond to the operating environment, risks and customer needs. At the same time, the work package will establish planning criteria and a model for defining capacity requirements. The package takes into account the national, regional and local levels.
There is already a model for defining regional and local capacity requirements on the basis of which capacity requirements are defined in rescue departments. The national capacity requirements for rescue operations will also be developed in the work package. The model for defining capacity requirements will be developed in such a way that the requirements are of the same standard in a similar operating environment. The model will also take into account contract fire brigades. In addition, the working group will provide a planning template for defining national, regional and local capacity requirements for rescue operations.
The work package will also explore the differences between the performance and the capacity requirements of rescue operations in key scenarios and tasks at national level.